Kerala: After days of subdued showers, Kerala could soon welcome the sound of steady rainfall again, with meteorologists tracking a low-pressure system expected to form over the northwest and west-central Bay of Bengal around August 13–14.
The state is currently in a break-monsoon phase, caused by the monsoon trough drifting north of its normal position — a shift that has weakened rainfall across large parts of India.
Experts say the new weather system could drag the trough southward, reigniting the southwest monsoon and unleashing widespread, and potentially heavy, rains across Kerala, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, and Andhra Pradesh by the third week of August.
While the signs point to a welcome rain revival, forecasters warn that the exact intensity and spread will hinge on how the low-pressure area develops in the coming days.